I've been slowly developing a theory. I don't have enough time to fully expound upon it here yet, but in a nutshell, I believe that by 2012, we will see the emergence of a significant third political party in the United States -- a new party evolving out of the moderates of the two major parties. Perhaps its torch bearer will be Joe Lieberman, whose loss in the Connecticut primary for his re-election bid for the U.S. Senate has led to him running as an independent. I believe he'll win, though not by much, perhaps not even by a majority, because there will be several Democrats who follow him and many more Republicans who support him because their candidate is incapable of showing a political pulse much less electability in this contentious off-year election cycle.
But that's not the whole theory. It has become public knowledge now that the new pension reform will enable same-sex couples to pass along wealth as an inheritance. Good for them, I say. While I have some misgivings about what marriage means in their context, I don't doubt same-sex couples love each other and should be allowed to show concern for their partner's future the same way I would with my wife.
So far, the religious right seems ok with this law, because it's a benefit their constituents like, but when someone inevitably turns this into quasi-marriage, the fissures will widen. This country is becoming so diametrically opposed politically that the vacuum in the middle will have to be filled, and it'll be the RINOs and DINOs who do it (R-D In Name Only). A lot still needs to fall into place for this chasm to become noticeable, but I think it's as inevitable as an earthquake in California.
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